Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 14.622588 16.549010 18.726923 21.390661 24.586908 28.332310 33.103296
2025-07-20 12.411008 14.915534 17.992055 22.117869 27.614847 34.851129 45.389990
2025-07-27 10.659396 13.288179 16.688118 21.526588 28.442843 38.325050 54.229183
2025-08-03 9.843804 12.665694 16.483830 22.215701 30.962277 44.487860 68.572045
2025-08-10 8.918435 11.747653 15.707621 21.901593 31.853725 48.269538 80.135746
2025-08-17 8.175112 10.984597 15.032374 21.593933 32.631895 51.946939 92.655492
2025-08-24 7.596811 10.390737 14.522596 21.443615 33.597690 56.109488 107.622335
2025-08-31 7.015937 9.734477 13.840772 20.906690 33.769581 58.783370 120.361876
2025-09-07 6.585325 9.265178 13.397797 20.701641 34.489073 62.683276 137.734350
2025-09-14 6.059111 8.606626 12.591679 19.767102 33.663991 63.130707 146.266140
2025-09-21 5.579932 7.989008 11.802589 18.777454 32.583155 62.785129 152.490446
2025-09-28 5.218947 7.535655 11.250081 18.159319 32.163972 63.880039 163.752404
2025-10-05 5.347210 7.888846 12.099229 20.282506 37.948045 81.918507 245.724757
2025-10-12 5.217006 7.806756 12.191043 20.969225 40.764776 93.500878 317.126940
2025-10-19 4.914511 7.413237 11.695881 20.417922 40.593805 96.569116 354.010928
2025-10-26 4.807113 7.343902 11.778008 21.059749 43.442449 109.909395 462.688363
2025-11-02 4.583582 7.058380 11.437991 20.767268 43.878205 115.675001 537.042804
2025-11-09 4.379139 6.793973 11.117422 20.480697 44.281670 121.556567 624.258171
2025-11-16 4.208476 6.579379 10.875376 20.340648 45.062690 129.223389 744.235785
2025-11-23 4.008283 6.301000 10.491421 19.840209 44.749440 132.608056 835.958352
2025-11-30 3.857326 6.103775 10.252480 19.649014 45.301606 139.856482 992.313220
2025-12-07 3.641620 5.778454 9.742059 18.777053 43.700421 137.339501 1028.016055
2025-12-14 3.432925 5.457891 9.225549 17.852636 41.825981 133.127205 1036.006911